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Peter Feaver gives five reasons today at Shadow Government why it's premature for Obama and his supporters to declare mission accomplished (which George W. Bush's critics love to remember) on his "lead-from-behind" strategy in Libya:
- Leading from behind wasn't actually what worked. Things tipped only when NATO (and especially U.S.) military operations stepped up.
- Leading from behind was part and parcel with the late entry into the conflict, which has delayed the whole thing. It's not obvious that Obama's strategy was somehow better than decisive, more forceful action earlier.
- The international coalition is fraying and tired, which leaves little energy for whatever will come next...which could require a lot of the international community.
- Obama's rationale to commit troops - to prevent a bloodbath - cuts against his claim that Libyans will be responsible for their own security post-Quaddafy.
- The real test of Obama's commitment will play out after Quaddafy, so it's too premature to declare anything.
I have paraphrased the five points. The whole thing is here.
The parallels with G.W. Bush go beyond wanting to declare "mission accomplished" too soon, according to Walter Russell Mead, who has an essay on his blog that, as usual, is worth reading in full.
[Obama's] defenders must also squirm; in general, President Obama succeeds where he adopts or modifies the policies of the Bush administration. Where (as on Israel) he has tried to deviate, his troubles begin...President Obama is pushing a democracy agenda in the Middle East that is as aggressive as President Bush’s; he adopts regime change by violence if necessary as a core component of his regional approach and, to put it mildly, he is not afraid to bomb. But where President Bush’s tough guy posture (“Bring ‘Em On!”) alienated opinion abroad and among liberals at home, President Obama’s reluctant warrior stance makes it easier for others to work with him...In many ways we are living through George W. Bush’s third term in the Middle East, and neither President Obama’s friends nor his enemies want to admit it. President Obama, in his own way and with his own twists, continues to follow the core Bush policy of nudging and sometimes pushing nasty regimes out of power, aligning the US with the wave of popular discontent in the region even as that popular sentiment continues to dislike, suspect and reject many aspects of American power and society.
As ever, Mead is brimming with insight and great historical analysis.
And yet something is missing in this commentary. It's true that Obama is continuing Bush's policies as, in Mead's words, a "reluctant warrior," and hence less threatening to some of our allies than George W. Bush was. But Bush was more than a "Bring 'Em On" commander in chief. He was also a vocal proponent of every human being's legitimate claim to their God-given liberty. He was also unafraid to declare that the United States has a special role to play protecting that legitimate claim around the world.
This is where Obama has been different. He has not sent signals to defenders of freedom and democracy worldwide that they can count on the U.S., and his "lead from behind" strategy, despite whatever aggressive actions Obama has pursued elsewhere, sends mixed signals about whether we're "all in" to keep our enemies at bay and our friends close. It's hard to imagine political prisoners in Iran or North Korea quietly sending words of hope to one another as those prisoners in the Gulag were doing when Reagan loudly confronted the regime that had imprisoned them.